A significant shift in voter preferences among key demographic groups is emerging in the California gubernatorial recall election, according to a new poll, providing a boost to Republican candidate Larry Elder..
The poll, conducted by the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC), found that among likely voters, Republican candidates have gained ground since July. Elder, a conservative talk show host, has seen his support increase by 6 percentage points, while Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom’s support has declined by 4 percentage points..
One of the most striking findings of the poll is the shift among Latino voters. In July, Newsom led among Latino voters by 23 percentage points. However, in the new poll, that lead has narrowed to just 7 percentage points. This shift is particularly significant given that Latino voters make up a large and growing share of the California electorate..
The poll also found that Republican candidates have made gains among independent voters, who now favor Republican candidates by a margin of 6 percentage points. In July, independent voters were evenly divided between Democratic and Republican candidates..
The shift toward Republican candidates among these key voter groups is likely due to a number of factors, including dissatisfaction with Newsom’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the state’s economic recovery, and homelessness crisis..
Newsom has faced criticism for his handling of the pandemic, particularly his decision to impose strict lockdowns and mask mandates. While these measures have helped to slow the spread of the virus, they have also caused significant economic disruption..
The state’s economic recovery has also been slower than expected, with unemployment rates remaining higher than the national average. This has caused financial hardship for many Californians, who are looking for a change in leadership..
The homelessness crisis in California has also been a major issue in the recall election. Newsom has been criticized for his failure to adequately address the problem, which has worsened in recent years..
The shift toward Republican candidates among key voter groups is a major development in the California gubernatorial recall election. It remains to be seen whether these trends will continue in the remaining weeks of the campaign, but they certainly give Republican candidates a boost..
It is important to note that the PPIC poll is just one of several polls that have been conducted in recent weeks. Other polls have shown different results, so it is difficult to say with certainty what the outcome of the recall election will be. However, the PPIC poll is widely respected for its accuracy, and its findings are likely to be taken seriously by both candidates and voters..
The California gubernatorial recall election will be held on September 14, 2021. If Newsom is recalled, Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalakis will become governor. If Newsom survives the recall, he will remain in office until his term expires in January 2023..
